Massive shift in Trump-Harris swing state polling with Biden out


Published: 2 months ago

Reading time: 3 minutes

Harris has done something Biden hadn’t been able to do when he was still running against Trump.

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are in a statistical dead heat in a hypothetical 2024 match-up, according to a recent Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll. The poll showed Harris with a slight edge over Trump, with 48% of voters backing her compared to 47% for Trump. This is a notable shift from previous polls that showed Biden struggling to beat Trump in key swing states.

The Bloomberg report on the survey suggests that Harris has a better chance of reassembling the voter coalition that elected President Barack Obama and appealing to the Democratic base, an area where Biden had struggled. Harris's selection as the vice-presidential nominee has injected new energy into the Democratic campaign, with record-breaking fundraising and social media engagement reminiscent of Obama's historic candidacy.

Just a week ago, the 2024 election landscape looked very different, with Trump and his allies predicting a landslide victory at the Republican National Convention. However, the unexpected events of the past week, including Biden's abrupt departure from the race, have transformed the contest. With less than 100 days until Election Day, the race is now fundamentally different, with new candidates, issues, and outlooks for both parties.

Harris has quickly energized the Democratic base and generated excitement, outperforming Trump in key swing states like Michigan, Arizona, and Wisconsin. This shift underscores the dynamic nature of presidential elections and the impact of candidate selection. As the campaign enters its final stretch, it remains to be seen whether Harris can maintain this momentum and secure the Democratic victory that had once seemed elusive.


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